How are Visa Bulletin predictions calculated?

Visa Bulletin predictions are calculated by analyzing historical monthly movement velocity across 23+ past bulletins, statutory annual visa caps set by Congress (140,000 employment-based and 226,000 family-sponsored), USCIS I-485 filing receipts, and National Visa Center (NVC) documentarily qualified backlogs.

Which month of the year sees the biggest Visa Bulletin advancement?

Historically, the October Visa Bulletin experiences the most significant forward movement because October marks the start of the federal government's new fiscal year (FY), releasing an entire fresh annual quota of immigrant visa numbers.

Why do Visa Bulletin dates freeze or retrogress during the summer?

As the federal fiscal year approaches its conclusion on September 30th, annual per-country and category quotas become fully exhausted. To prevent issuing more green cards than permitted by federal law, the State Department slows movement, retrogresses cutoff dates, or sets categories to 'Unavailable (U)'.

What is the future outlook for EB-2 and EB-3 India?

While the October fiscal year reset reopens backlogged categories with active cutoff dates, heavy pre-existing queues from previous years mean progression remains steady and measured rather than massive multi-year leaps.

Accueil/Prédictions

Prévisions du Bulletin des Visas et Tendances

Analyse chiffrée des dates de priorité de la carte verte américaine, cycles des quotas fédéraux et prévisions par catégorie.

Outil Interactif de Prédiction

Calculez votre Temps d'Attente de Priorité

Sélectionnez votre catégorie et pays de naissance pour générer des estimations personnalisées basées sur 23 mois de données officielles.

Calculateur de Date de Priorité et Délai d'Attente

Saisissez votre date de priorité et votre catégorie pour déterminer si vous pouvez déposer votre dossier de carte verte.

Catégorie de Visa

Pays de Naissance

Date de Priorité

Localisation Actuelle

Aux États-Unis (Ajustement de Statut - Tableau B)Hors des États-Unis (Traitement Consulaire - Tableau A)

You are tracking the queue for ...

Matrice de Prévision par Catégorie

Official State Department cutoffs • Verified 12-month velocity

September 2026 Official Data

Catégorie	Date Butoir Actuelle	Progression Prévue	Conseils de Dépôt
EB-1 Worldwide (ROW)	Current (C) Final Action	Immediate / No Wait Current	Continuously Current throughout the fiscal year. Eligible for concurrent Form I-140 and Form I-485 filing.
EB-1 India Track cutoff→	Oct 15, 2022 Final Action	+1 – 3 mos / quarter Measured Pace	Steady autumn advance (+8.0 mo net in FY26); high I-140 demand keeps pace measured. Watch Chart B dates for early filing windows.
EB-1 China Track cutoff→	Jul 1, 2023 Final Action	+1 – 2 mos / quarter Measured Pace	Gradual progression (+6.3 mo in FY26); constrained by the 7% statutory per-country cap. Spousal cross-chargeability bypasses backlog.
EB-2 Worldwide (ROW)	Current (C) Final Action	Immediate / No Wait Current	Advanced to Current; file promptly before late-fiscal-year demand calibrations. Concurrent I-140/I-485 filing available.
EB-2 India Track cutoff→	Unavailable (U) Final Action	+1 – 3 wks / month Reopening Oct	Quota fully utilized for late FY26; reopens with active cutoffs upon October fiscal reset. Maintain lawful underlying non-immigrant status.
EB-2 China Track cutoff→	Sep 1, 2021 Final Action	+1 – 2 mos / quarter Measured Pace	Paced movement across late 2021 dates (+8.5 mo in FY26); supported by spillover. Finalize PERM/I-140 approvals and prepare I-693.
EB-3 Worldwide (ROW)	Sep 1, 2024 Final Action	+1 – 2 mos / quarter Advancing	Strong forward recovery (+17.0 mo in FY26); approaching recent priority dates. Chart B is Current for early packet preparation.
EB-3 India Track cutoff→	Jan 1, 2014 Final Action	+1 – 3 wks / month Heavy Backlog	Heavy EB-2 interfiling downgrades (+7.3 mo in FY26); steady small steps. Consult attorney on EB-2/EB-3 interfiling.
EB-3 China Track cutoff→	Jan 1, 2022 Final Action	+2 – 4 wks / month Steady Progress	Active advancement across 7 months in FY26 (+13.0 mo net); consistent forward momentum. Monitor USCIS monthly filing chart selection.
EB-5 RIA Set-Asides	Current (C) Final Action	Immediate / No Wait Current	Statutory 32% reserved pool remains Current for ALL countries (including India & China). Concurrent Form I-526E and Form I-485 permitted.
EB-5 Unreserved (China & India)	China: Dec 1, 2016 India: Unavailable (U) Final Action	Slow / Stagnant Backlogged	Pre-RIA unreserved pool faces multi-year backlogs for India and China; ROW is Current. New investors should select RIA set-aside projects.

Comprendre le Cycle Annuel du Bulletin des Visas

L'avancée des visas suit un cycle en 3 phases dicté par l'année fiscale fédérale (du 1er octobre au 30 septembre) :

Phase 1 : Oct – Déc

Le Renouvellement des Quotas d'Octobre

Le Congrès débloque 140 000+ visas d'emploi et 226 000 familiaux, provoquant les plus grands bonds en avant de l'année.

Phase 2 : Jan – Mai

Période d'Ajustement Annuel

L'USCIS et le Département d'État avancent les dates à un rythme régulier de 1 à 4 semaines par mois.

Phase 3 : Juin – Sept

Épuisement des Quotas et Ralentissement

À l'approche de la fin de l'exercice fiscal, les quotas se saturent et des régressions peuvent survenir.

Prévisions Détaillées par Catégorie et Conseils

EB-1: Priority Workers

Track EB-1 India →

Rest of World / Mexico / Philippines: Projected to remain continuously Current (C).

India & China: High volume from multinational managers (EB-1C) and porting from EB-2 creates ongoing backlogs. Expect moderate quarterly movement in Q1/Q2, with slower pacing in summer.

EB-2: Advanced Degrees

Track EB-2 India →

China: Stable forward progression across 2021–2022 priority dates.

India: Reopens upon the October fiscal reset with active cutoffs, followed by measured increments of 5 to 15 days per bulletin.

EB-3: Skilled Workers

Track EB-3 India →

Rest of World: Hovering near recent years, with quarterly calibrations.

India & China: Highly reactive to interfiling (downgrading/upgrading between EB-2 and EB-3). Pacing expected at 1 to 3 weeks per month.

EB-5: Immigrant Investors

Calculator →

Set-Asides (Rural 20%, High Unemp 10%, Infra 2%): Remain CURRENT for all countries (including India and China), enabling concurrent I-526E and I-485 filings.

Unreserved: Subject to country backlogs for China and India.

Facteurs Déterminants des Prédictions de Visas

1. Statutory Per-Country Ceilings

No single country of chargeability may receive more than 7% of the annual visa allocation, bottlenecking high-demand nations.

2. USCIS Chart Selection (Chart A vs B)

When USCIS opens Chart B (Dates for Filing), a surge of I-485 applications is locked into the processing pipeline.

3. Category Spillover Flow

Unused numbers in higher preference categories (like EB-1) roll over into lower tiers (EB-2, then EB-3) per statutory formula.

4. I-140 & PERM Processing Speeds

The speed at which the Department of Labor and USCIS approve underlying petitions determines the volume of new contenders.

Foire Aux Questions : Prédictions du Bulletin des Visas

How accurate are Visa Bulletin predictions?

Mathematical models provide reliable planning ranges based on historical velocity and quota limits. However, actual monthly bulletin dates are finalized by real-time inventory at USCIS and the Department of State. Use predictions as strategic guidance rather than guarantees.

When is the official Visa Bulletin released each month?

The Department of State typically publishes the upcoming month's Visa Bulletin between the 8th and 15th of the preceding month (for example, the October bulletin is released in mid-September).

What should I do if my priority date is projected to become current?

Begin assembling your civil documents (birth and marriage certificates with certified translations) and schedule your Form I-693 immigration medical examination so your Form I-485 packet is ready to mail the moment your window opens.