Visa Queue Wait Time Forecast
Data-driven projection based on historical Visa Bulletin movement rate over the last 22 months.
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Please select your visa category, country of birth, and priority date to calculate your personalized wait time forecast:
1. Current Status Recap
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2. Estimated Wait Time Range
Pace based on the fastest 5-month sprint over the last year of bulletins.
Steady 12-month rolling average pace over the past year.
Pace based on a 22-month rolling average, factoring in retrogressions and freezes.
Methodology Note: This forecast measures the distance in days between the current cut-off date and your priority date (approximately -- days), then projects the wait based on the 12-month rolling average movement speed of -- days of advancement per calendar month.
3. Historical Speed Table (Last 22 Months)
Tracks monthly cut-off dates and movement patterns from October 2024 to August 2026.
| Visa Bulletin Month | Cut-off Date | Monthly Movement |
|---|
4. Seasonal Visa Bulletin Patterns
The Department of State operates under a Federal Fiscal Year calendar which starts on October 1st. This produces predictable seasonal cycles in cutoff date movement:
- October – January (First Quarter): Rapid advancement is common because the full annual quota of visa numbers is released.
- February – May (Second & Third Quarters): Cut-off dates often freeze or slow down as the government monitors demand levels.
- June – September (Fourth Quarter): Retrogression (backward movement) or Unavailable (U) statuses commonly occur when categories approach annual statutory caps.
This estimate is based on historical movement over the last 22 months. The Visa Bulletin does not move predictably. Dates can advance, retrogress, or freeze without warning. This is not a guarantee of when your date will become current.